Category Archives: Politics

Stockton Faculty Research: Civics Lessons in College Could Increase Political Participation

Education about civics in colleges and universities could reverse declining levels of public knowledge about government and increase political participation, according to research published today by the William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy at Stockton University.

The report, “Midwife to Democracy:  Civic Learning in Higher Education,” was written by Jennifer Forestal, assistant professor of Political Science at Stockton. Increasing civic engagement is part of the mission of the Hughes Center, which sponsored the research. Continue reading Stockton Faculty Research: Civics Lessons in College Could Increase Political Participation

Stockton Poll: Clinton Leads Trump 51-40 Percent; Casino Expansion Opposed

Democrat Hillary Clinton has opened up an 11-point lead over Republican Donald Trump in the contest for New Jersey’s 14 Electoral College votes, according to a Stockton Poll released today.

Clinton leads in New Jersey 51 percent to 40 percent for Trump, with 3 percent for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 1 percent for Jill Stein of the Green Party, according to the statewide poll. Less than 6 percent are undecided or not expressing a preference for any of the four major candidates. Continue reading Stockton Poll: Clinton Leads Trump 51-40 Percent; Casino Expansion Opposed

One Stop Early Voting Scheduled For Saturday, Oct. 31

THE OCEAN County Clerk’s office in conjunction with the Ocean County Board of Elections is offering registered voters who cannot get to the polls on Election Day an opportunity to fill out a Vote by Mail Ballot in person on Saturday, Oct. 31.

“From 9 a.m. to 2 p.m., registered voters can visit the Ocean County Board of Elections office in the lower level of 129 Hooper Ave., in downtown Toms River to cast their ballot with a Vote by Mail Ballot,” said Ocean County Clerk Scott M. Colabella. “We are pleased to offer this special time to help citizens vote in Ocean County.”

Citizens taking advantage of the opportunity can park in the county parking garage adjacent to the building. Parking is free.

All Vote by Mail applications sent through the mail must arrive at the County Clerk’s Office by Tuesday, Oct. 27. After this date, all registered voters must apply in person at the Clerk’s Office to cast their ballot with a Vote by Mail Ballot. Continue reading One Stop Early Voting Scheduled For Saturday, Oct. 31

Stockton Poll: MacArthur Leading Belgard in 3rd Congressional District Race

Republican Tom MacArthur has opened a 5-percentage-point lead over Democrat Aimee Belgard in the hard-fought 3rd Congressional District, according to a poll released today by the Stockton Polling Institute.

 

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MacArthur leads 46 percent to 41 percent when voters who lean toward one candidate or the other are included, with 8 percent undecided. Without those voters who are leaning one way or the other, MacArthur leads 44 percent to 38 percent, with 12.5 percent undecided and 5 percent favoring neither candidate, or someone else.

A Stockton Poll released Sept. 15 found the race to succeed retiring Rep. Jon Runyan, a Republican, tied at 42 percent for each candidate.

The poll was conducted with 617 likely voters by the Stockton Polling Institute of the William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy. Live interviewers on the Stockton campus called both landlines and cell phones from Oct. 25-28, 2014. The poll’s margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.

“This election is trending toward the Republican,” said Daniel J. Douglas, director of the Hughes Center. “A fair number of voters have not yet committed as the candidates continue to battle.”

Still, some key demographic indicators appear to favor MacArthur.

The Stockton Poll shows that MacArthur has the support of 84 percent of Republicans, while Belgard is backed by 75 percent of Democrats. MacArthur holds a five-point lead among unaffiliated voters. Each candidate is leading in his or her geographic base. Belgard leads 45 percent to 37 percent in her home Burlington County, and MacArthur leads 52 percent to 30 percent in Ocean County.

Belgard draws support from young voters and racial and ethnic minorities, while MacArthur leads among senior citizens. That is an important demographic in Ocean County, which has the second-largest population of seniors among New Jersey’s 21 counties.

MacArthur is leading among men and is tied with Belgard among women voters, the poll shows.

MacArthur and Belgard have become more familiar to voters, but not necessarily in a positive fashion.  Both were unknown to more than one-third of voters in the Sept. 15 Stockton Poll. In the new poll, only 15 percent are unfamiliar with MacArthur and 16 percent with Belgard.

Belgard is viewed favorably by 42 percent, up 4 points since September. But she is viewed unfavorably by 39 percent, an increase of 13 points over the 26-percent unfavorable rating in September.

MacArthur is viewed favorably by 48 percent, up 7 points since September. He is viewed unfavorably by 31 percent, 10 points higher than in September.

“What voters have learned about these candidates has come largely from negative advertising,” Douglas said.

Stockton Poll: Booker’s Lead over Bell Narrows to 9 Points

Incumbent U.S. Sen. Cory Booker leads Republican challenger Jeff Bell by 9 percentage points in New Jersey’s U.S. Senate race, according to a poll of likely New Jersey voters released today by the Stockton Polling Institute.

Booker, a Democrat, leads by 48 percent to 39 percent for Bell, when voters who lean toward one candidate or the other are included. Twelve percent are unsure or not expressing a choice.

The poll results show a tightening of the race since a Stockton Poll released on Sept. 10 found Booker with a 13-point lead.

The statewide survey of 810 likely New Jersey voters was conducted by the Stockton Polling Institute of the William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy. Live interviewers on The Richard Stockton College of New Jersey campus called both landlines and cell phones from Oct. 5-8, 2014. The poll’s margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Bell continues to struggle to gain name recognition. Thirty-eight percent view him favorably, and 18 percent view Bell unfavorably. But 43 percent are unfamiliar with him (36 percent) or are unsure about their opinion of him (7 percent), down slightly from 47 percent unfamiliar or unsure a month ago, the poll results show.

“While Senator Booker’s lead has narrowed, he remains ahead,” said Daniel J. Douglas, director of the Hughes Center. “Mr. Bell remains unknown by a sizable portion of the electorate.”

Only 13 percent are unfamiliar with Booker, the former mayor of Newark. He is viewed favorably by 58 percent, which is unchanged since the Sept. 10 poll. Those with unfavorable views of Booker increased from 23 percent in September to 28 percent in the new poll.

Fifty percent rate Booker’s job performance as good or excellent, virtually unchanged since September’s poll. However, his negative job ratings (fair or poor) increased from 37 percent to 42 percent.

Booker is drawing strong support from black or African-American voters (80 percent to 4 percent for Bell), Hispanic voters (50 percent to 23 percent for Bell), and women voters (47 percent to

36 percent for Bell). Men are fairly evenly split, with 44 percent for Bell and 42 percent for Booker. Both candidates draw more than 80 percent of support from their party bases, but unaffiliated voters favor Booker 41 percent to 34 percent.

New Jersey voters have unfavorable views of President Barack Obama and the job he is doing. Forty-four percent views the president favorably, unchanged since Sept. 10. Fifty-three percent have unfavorable views of him. Only 38 percent say the president is doing a good or excellent job, while 61 percent say his job performance is fair or poor. The ratings are identical to the Sept. 10 poll findings.

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie’s ratings improved slightly over the past month. Forty-nine percent rate his job performance as positive, up from 47 percent. Slightly more than half (51 percent) say he is doing a fair or poor job, down from 53 percent on Sept. 10.

He is viewed favorably by 56 percent (up from 53 percent) and unfavorably by 41 percent, with 3 percent unsure.

Taxes and economic issues are clearly on the minds of New Jersey voters. Property taxes are identified as the state’s most important issue, by 22 percent. Twenty percent identify jobs, and 13 percent identify the economy as most important. Twelve percent identify taxes in general as their top issue.

The new poll finds continued strong support for a proposed state Constitutional amendment that would allow judges to deny bail to defendants who are flight risks or who pose threats to the public. Seventy-nine percent support the proposal, with 14 percent opposed and 7 percent unsure.

More than half (55 percent) supports a second proposed Constitutional amendment that would increase the percentage of the Corporation Business Tax dedicated to environmental programs. The dedication would go from 4 percent to 6 percent on July 1, 2019. Thirty-six percent oppose the proposal, and 9 percent are unsure.

Methodology

The survey was conducted by the Stockton Polling Institute of the William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy (www.stockton.edu/hughescenter). Live interviewers on the Stockton campus called both landlines and cell phones from Oct. 5 – 8, 2014. The poll was conducted with 810 adults who are likely voters. The poll’s margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points at a 95 percent confidence level. MOE is higher for subsets. Data are weighted based on United States Census Bureau demographics for the New Jersey population.

 

Runyan Amendment Protecting KC-10 Fleet Passes House

Today, the House of Representatives passed H.R. 4870, the Department of Defense Appropriations Act for Fiscal Year 2015 by a vote of 340 to 73. This legislation provides funding for military operations, critical national security needs, and programs which support our nation’s servicemembers and their families. Included in the bill is an amendment to protect the KC10 fleet authored by Rep. Runyan.  The amendment ensures that no funds made available by the bill can be used to retire or transfer, or to prepare or plan for the retirement or transfer of the entire KC-10 fleet during fiscal year 2015.

“My amendment is not only critical to protecting our military’s air refueling mission, but also critical for Joint Base MDL. Prematurely eliminating our KC-10 aircraft could lead to unacceptable mission risk,” said Rep. Runyan. “The KC-10 is vital to supporting our men and women in uniform as they continue to serve across the globe.”

The KC-10, which entered service in 1981, is the largest refueling aircraft currently in the military’s inventory and has made a significant impact on combat operations and overall mission effectiveness. With almost twice the capacity of the much older KC-135, the KC-10 is key because it combines the operations of aerial refueling, long-range cargo transport, and aerial medical transport in a single aircraft.   It can be refueled in flight.

Congressman Runyan’s KC-10 amendment passed the House of Representatives by voice vote.